Gobelins v Aubagne

Gobelins meet Aubagne in the Ligue 3 regular season - 5 at Stade Pele, Paris.

The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gobelins, 42% against 28%. Attacking output favors Gobelins on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.

Gobelins arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Aubagne, D 1-1 @ Thionville Lusitanos, W 2-1 v Valenciennes, L 0-2 @ Villefranche.

Aubagne are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gobelins, W 2-0 v Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-1 @ Caen, L 0-1 v Bastia.

Gobelins hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gobelins 0-0 Aubagne.

The market prices GOB at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Aubagne: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.