Where the market is wrong on Thionville Lusitanos v Gobelins
Thionville Lusitanos meet Gobelins in the Ligue 3 regular season - 4 at Stadium Plaine, undefined.
Thionville Lusitanos rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1468. Recent form leans Thionville Lusitanos, 71% against 45%. Attacking output favors Thionville Lusitanos on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.0 per match.
Thionville Lusitanos arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Gobelins, W 2-0 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, W 4-3 v Caen, W 3-0 @ Aubagne.
Gobelins are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Thionville Lusitanos, W 2-1 v Valenciennes, L 0-2 @ Villefranche, W 1-0 v Quevilly.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Thionville Lusitanos 1-1 Gobelins.
The market prices THI at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Gobelins: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
