Where the market is wrong on Hohenems v Röthis
Hohenems meet Röthis in the Regionalliga - West west - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Röthis, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Hohenems on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Hohenems at 50%; double chance reads Hohenems or draw 64%, Röthis or draw 63%.
Hohenems arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Röthis, W 2-0 @ Fügen, W 6-0 v Lustenau, W 3-2 @ Lochau.
Röthis are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Hohenems, L 0-4 @ Kitzbühel, L 1-2 @ Schwaz, W 3-2 v Lauterach.
The market prices HOH at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on Röthis: a 24.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
