Where the market is wrong on Calamocha v Tudelano
Calamocha meet Tudelano in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 4 at Municipal de Tarazona, Tarazona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Calamocha, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tudelano on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Calamocha arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Tudelano, W 3-2 v UD Logroñés II, L 0-5 @ Espanyol II, L 0-1 v Terrassa.
Tudelano are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Calamocha, W 2-1 v Manresa, L 1-3 @ Girona II, D 0-0 v UD Logroñés II.
Tudelano hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Calamocha 0-3 Tudelano.
The market prices CAL at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Calamocha: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
