Where the market is wrong on Reddis v Náxara
Reddis meet Náxara in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 3 at Estadi Municipal de Reus, Reus.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Náxara on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Reddis arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Náxara, L 0-2 @ Ebro, L 0-1 v Osasuna II, L 0-1 v Castellón II.
Náxara are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Reddis, L 1-2 v Olot, L 0-5 @ Barcelona B, W 4-1 @ Haro Deportivo.
The market prices RED at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Náxara: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
