Alaves v Valencia: the model read
Alaves meet Valencia in the La Liga regular season - 6 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alaves, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Alaves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Alaves arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Villarreal, D 1-1 @ Rayo Vallecano, W 3-0 v Getafe, D 1-1 @ Racing Santander.
Valencia are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Deportivo La Coruna, L 0-1 v Real Betis, D 0-0 v Celta Vigo, L 0-1 v Teruel.
Alaves hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Valencia 3-2 Alaves.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
