Where the market is wrong on Eibar v Las Palmas
Eibar meet Las Palmas in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Eibar, 70% against 53%. Attacking output favors Eibar on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Eibar arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Las Palmas, W 2-1 @ Eldense, W 4-0 @ Celta de Vigo II, W 3-0 v Granada CF.
Las Palmas are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Eibar, L 1-2 v Burgos, W 1-0 @ Cadiz, D 0-0 v Leganes.
The market prices EIB at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Las Palmas: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
