Burgos v Eldense

Burgos meet Eldense in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Municipal El Plantio, Burgos.

Burgos rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1431. Recent form leans Burgos, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Burgos on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Burgos arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Eldense, W 2-1 @ Las Palmas, W 3-1 v AD Ceuta FC, D 0-0 @ Oviedo.

Eldense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Burgos, L 1-2 v Eibar, W 1-0 @ Sporting Gijon, D 0-0 v Mallorca.

Eldense hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Burgos 1-0 Eldense.

The market prices BUR at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.