Cadiz v Valladolid

Cadiz meet Valladolid in the Segunda División regular season - 3 at JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 38%. Attacking output favors Cadiz on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.

Cadiz arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Valladolid, D 2-2 @ Eldense, D 0-0 v Celta de Vigo II, L 1-3 v Las Palmas.

Valladolid are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cadiz, L 0-1 @ Eibar, L 0-2 @ Mallorca, W 4-2 @ Sporting Gijon.

Cadiz hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cadiz 1-1 Valladolid.

The market prices CAD at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Valladolid: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.