Portugal v Croatia

Portugal meet Croatia in the World Cup round of 32 at BMO Field, Toronto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 65%. Attacking output favors Portugal on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.0 per match.

Portugal arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.

Croatia are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, W 2-1 v Ghana, W 1-0 @ Panama, L 2-4 @ England.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.