Where the market is wrong on Blackpool v Plymouth
Blackpool meet Plymouth in the League One regular season - 7 at Bloomfield Road, Blackpool.
Plymouth rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1523. Recent form leans Plymouth, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Plymouth on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Blackpool arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Wigan, L 2-4 v Plymouth, D 2-2 v Bromley, L 1-3 @ Reading.
Plymouth are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Crystal Palace U21, W 4-2 @ Blackpool, W 3-0 v Barnsley, W 3-2 @ Doncaster.
Plymouth hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Blackpool 2-4 Plymouth.
The market prices BLA at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Plymouth: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
