Portsmouth v Blackburn

Portsmouth meet Blackburn in the Championship regular season - 8 at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Blackburn on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Portsmouth arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Blackburn, D 0-0 @ Charlton, W 2-0 v Cardiff, L 0-2 v Derby.

Blackburn are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Portsmouth, W 3-1 v Millwall, L 1-2 v Sheffield Utd, L 1-2 @ Preston.

Blackburn hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portsmouth 2-2 Blackburn.

The market prices POR at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Blackburn: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.