Middlesbrough v West Brom

Middlesbrough meet West Brom in the Championship regular season - 3 at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.

West Brom rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1489. Recent form leans West Brom, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors West Brom on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Middlesbrough arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v West Brom, W 3-1 @ Doncaster, L 1-2 @ Blackburn, W 2-1 v Lincoln.

West Brom are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Middlesbrough, L 2-3 @ Newcastle, W 3-1 v Burnley, W 2-1 @ Norwich.

Middlesbrough hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom.

The market prices MID at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on West Brom: a 24.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.