Brazil v Japan

Brazil meet Japan in the World Cup round of 32 at NRG Stadium, Houston.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 73%. Attacking output favors Brazil on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Brazil arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Norway, W 2-1 v Japan, W 3-0 @ Scotland, W 3-0 v Haiti.

Japan are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Brazil, D 1-1 v Sweden, W 4-0 @ Tunisia, D 2-2 @ Netherlands.

Brazil hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brazil 2-1 Japan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.