Where the market is wrong on WSG Wattens v TSV Hartberg
WSG Wattens meet TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga regular season - 6 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans TSV Hartberg, 53% against 39%. Attacking output favors WSG Wattens on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
WSG Wattens arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Austria Lustenau, L 0-3 v Red Bull Salzburg, L 1-3 @ SCR Altach, D 1-1 v Sturm Graz.
TSV Hartberg are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Ried, W 2-1 @ SCR Altach, L 0-2 v Austria Vienna, L 0-2 v Sturm Graz.
The market prices WSG at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on TSV Hartberg: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
