TSV Hartberg v Ried

TSV Hartberg meet Ried in the Bundesliga regular season - 5 at Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors TSV Hartberg on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

TSV Hartberg arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Ried, W 2-1 @ SCR Altach, L 0-2 v Austria Vienna, L 0-2 v Sturm Graz.

Ried are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ TSV Hartberg, W 1-0 v Grazer AK, L 1-4 @ Lask Linz, L 1-2 v Rapid Vienna.

TSV Hartberg hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: TSV Hartberg 3-2 Ried.

The market prices TSV at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on TSV Hartberg: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.