Lask Linz v Grazer AK

Lask Linz meet Grazer AK in the Bundesliga regular season - 1 at Raiffeisen Arena, Linz. The model makes Lask Linz the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% LAS, 27% draw, 27% GRA.

Lask Linz rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1553. Recent form leans Lask Linz, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors Lask Linz on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Lask Linz at 62%; double chance reads Lask Linz or draw 73%, Grazer AK or draw 55%.

Lask Linz arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Kalsdorf, W 2-0 v Fortuna Düsseldorf, L 1-2 v Fenerbahçe, L 0-2 @ FC Ingolstadt 04.

Grazer AK are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Fach-Donaufeld, L 0-5 v Dynamo Dresden, W 1-0 v SV Kapfenberg, L 2-4 v First Vienna.

Lask Linz hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Grazer AK 1-2 Lask Linz.

The market prices LAS at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Grazer AK: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.