Where the market is wrong on Znicz Pruszków v Resovia Rzeszów
Znicz Pruszków meet Resovia Rzeszów in the II Liga - East regular season - 1 at Stadion MZOS Znicz, undefined. The model makes Resovia Rzeszów the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 32% ZNI, 28% draw, 40% RES.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Resovia Rzeszów, 50% against 39%. Attacking output favors Resovia Rzeszów on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Resovia Rzeszów at 56%; double chance reads Znicz Pruszków or draw 60%, Resovia Rzeszów or draw 68%.
Znicz Pruszków arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Swit, L 1-2 v Chojniczanka Chojnice, W 4-1 v Mławianka Mława, W 3-2 v Polonia Warszawa.
Resovia Rzeszów are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ Siarka Tarnobrzeg, W 5-0 v Korona Kielce II, L 0-4 @ Nieciecza, W 3-0 v KSZO 1929.
Znicz Pruszków hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Resovia Rzeszów 1-2 Znicz Pruszków.
The market prices ZNI at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Resovia Rzeszów: a 19.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
