Debreceni VSC v Puskas Academy

Debreceni VSC meet Puskas Academy in the NB I regular season - 1 at Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen. The model makes Debreceni VSC the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% DEB, 31% draw, 30% PUS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Debreceni VSC, 60% against 42%. Attacking output favors Debreceni VSC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Debreceni VSC at 57%; double chance reads Debreceni VSC or draw 70%, Puskas Academy or draw 61%.

Debreceni VSC arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Pyunik Yerevan, W 1-0 @ NK Slaven Belupo, L 1-3 v Železničar Pančevo, D 1-1 @ Austria Vienna.

Puskas Academy are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Başakşehir, D 1-1 v FC BW Linz, W 1-0 v Slovan Bratislava, D 2-2 v MTK Budapest.

Puskas Academy hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puskas Academy 1-1 Debreceni VSC.

The market prices DEB at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.