St. Truiden v Union St. Gilloise

St. Truiden meet Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 3 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Union St. Gilloise on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.

St. Truiden arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Antwerp, L 2-4 @ Omonia Nicosia, W 1-0 v Omonia Nicosia, D 3-3 @ Cercle Brugge.

Union St. Gilloise are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Anderlecht, D 0-0 v Zulte Waregem, L 2-3 @ Bodo/Glimt, W 5-1 @ KVC Westerlo.

Union St. Gilloise hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: St. Truiden 2-1 Union St. Gilloise.

The market prices ST. at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Truiden: a 9.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.