Where the market is wrong on Gent v OH Leuven
Gent meet OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 3 at Planet Group Arena, Gent.
Gent rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Gent, 68% against 32%. Attacking output favors Gent on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Gent arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cercle Brugge, W 1-0 v OH Leuven, W 2-1 v Club Brugge KV, W 3-2 @ Hibernian.
OH Leuven are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ SK Beveren, L 0-1 @ Gent, L 1-2 v Standard Liege, L 0-3 v Club Brugge KV.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gent 1-0 OH Leuven.
The market prices GEN at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on OH Leuven: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
