Where the market is wrong on Arsenal Tivat v Otrant-Olympic
Arsenal Tivat meet Otrant-Olympic in the First League regular season - 5 at Stadion u Parku, Tivat.
Otrant-Olympic rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1466. Recent form leans Otrant-Olympic, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Otrant-Olympic on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Arsenal Tivat arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 1 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Otrant-Olympic, D 0-0 @ Bokelj, D 0-0 v Buducnost Podgorica, D 0-0 @ Mornar.
Otrant-Olympic are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Arsenal Tivat, L 0-3 v Dečić, W 4-1 @ Sutjeska, D 0-0 v Petrovac.
The market prices ARS at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Otrant-Olympic: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
