Where the market is wrong on ŁKS Łódź v Stal Mielec
ŁKS Łódź meet Stal Mielec in the I Liga regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 53%. Attacking output favors Stal Mielec on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans ŁKS Łódź at 55%; double chance reads ŁKS Łódź or draw 67%, Stal Mielec or draw 60%.
ŁKS Łódź arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Stal Mielec, W 2-1 v Nieciecza, L 1-2 v Chrobry Głogów, W 2-1 v Polonia Bytom.
Stal Mielec are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ ŁKS Łódź, W 5-2 v Polonia Bytom, D 1-1 v Stal Rzeszów, D 3-3 v Podbeskidzie.
ŁKS Łódź hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ŁKS Łódź 4-0 Stal Mielec.
The market prices ŁKS at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Stal Mielec: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
