Aluminij v Brinje-Grosuplje

Aluminij meet Brinje-Grosuplje in the 1. SNL regular season - 6 at Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1406 to 1445, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 39%. Attacking output favors Brinje-Grosuplje on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Aluminij at 51%; double chance reads Aluminij or draw 66%, Brinje-Grosuplje or draw 66%.

Aluminij arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Brinje-Grosuplje, W 3-1 @ Radomlje, D 1-1 v Nafta, L 0-1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana.

Brinje-Grosuplje are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Aluminij, L 1-2 v Mura, D 1-1 @ Bravo, D 1-1 v Koper.

The market prices ALU at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.