Koper and Radomlje shared the points in a 2-2 draw at Bonifika, a result that represented a significant deviation from the Lemeister model's pre-match projection of a comfortable home win. The model had given Koper a 58 per cent chance of victory and forecast a 3-0 scoreline, but the visitors produced a disciplined first-half performance that established a commanding lead before the hosts mounted a late rescue. The data, while not yet available for full statistical breakdown, would likely show Koper's territorial dominance after the break, with the home side generating a higher expected goals figure in the second period as they chased the game.
Radomlje struck inside the opening four minutes when L. Kusic found the net, with A. Zabukovnik providing the assist. The visitors doubled their advantage in the 24th minute as D. Ikenna converted from a V. Pelko assist, establishing a two-goal cushion that appeared to place Koper on the back foot. Koper's response was limited in the first period, and the half-time statistics would have reflected a side struggling to impose itself against a well-organised Radomlje defence that had converted two of its early opportunities with clinical efficiency.
The home side's discipline was tested, with F. Damjanovic receiving a yellow card in the 25th minute and F. Tomek following him into the book just before the interval in the 41st minute. Radomlje's A. Zabukovnik was also cautioned in first-half stoppage time, but the visitors carried their advantage into the break without further damage. The second half saw Radomlje continue to defend their lead, though A. Marinic and D. Ikenna both collected yellow cards in the 60th and 85th minutes respectively as the pressure from Koper increased. B. Graonic was also booked in the fourth minute of added time, underscoring the visitors' defensive rearguard as the contest grew increasingly tense.
Koper finally found a way back into the match in the 79th minute when L. Rimac scored to halve the deficit. The goal gave the hosts momentum, and they pushed for an equaliser as the clock ticked into stoppage time. Their persistence was rewarded in the 90th minute when Rimac stepped up to convert a penalty, completing his brace and securing a share of the spoils. The late equaliser was a significant psychological blow for Radomlje, who had looked in control for much of the contest and were left to rue the concession of a spot-kick at a critical moment.
The statistical picture from the match would likely show a stark disparity in territorial control, with Koper's superior possession figures failing to translate into meaningful chances until the latter stages. Radomlje's early efficiency in front of goal proved crucial, though their inability to maintain that threat in the second half allowed Koper to claw back. The yellow card count was even at three apiece, reflecting a contest that was competitive but not excessively fractious, while the number of substitutions made by both sides indicated a tactical battle that evolved throughout the 90 minutes.
For Koper, this result will feel like two points dropped given the pre-match expectations, but the character shown to recover from a two-goal deficit provides a foundation for the weeks ahead. Radomlje, meanwhile, will rue the failure to close out a match in which they were ahead for over an hour. The point moves both sides onto four points from their opening two league fixtures, a steady if unspectacular start to the 1. SNL season that leaves each with room for improvement. Koper's ability to salvage a result when trailing by two goals suggests resilience, while Radomlje must address their second-half vulnerability if they are to build on an encouraging start.