Where the market is wrong on Forfar Athletic v Annan Athletic
Forfar Athletic meet Annan Athletic in the League Two regular season - 8 at Station Park, Forfar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 38%. Attacking output favors Annan Athletic on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Forfar Athletic arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Peterhead, W 1-0 v Annan Athletic, L 1-5 @ Spartans, D 1-1 @ Banks O' Dee.
Annan Athletic are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Queen of the South, L 0-1 @ Forfar Athletic, W 2-0 v Elgin City, W 4-0 v Motherwell U21.
Forfar Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Forfar Athletic 1-0 Annan Athletic.
The market prices FOR at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Annan Athletic: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
