Ipswich v Liverpool

Ipswich meet Liverpool in the Premier League regular season - 3 at Portman Road, Ipswich.

Ipswich rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1466. Recent form leans Ipswich, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ipswich on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Ipswich arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Manchester United, W 3-1 v Leicester, W 2-1 v Sunderland, W 4-2 @ Union Berlin.

Liverpool are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nottingham Forest, D 2-2 @ Newcastle, D 0-0 v Como, L 2-3 v Monaco.

Liverpool hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich.

The market prices IPS at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Ipswich: a 26.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.