Sunderland v Fulham

Sunderland meet Fulham in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sunderland, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sunderland on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Sunderland arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Fulham, L 1-2 @ Ipswich, W 2-1 v Rennes, W 2-0 @ Lens.

Fulham are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sunderland, W 3-0 v AFC Wimbledon, L 2-3 v Chelsea, W 1-0 v VfB Stuttgart.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham.

The market prices SUN at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.