Bournemouth v Everton: the model read
Bournemouth meet Everton in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bournemouth, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bournemouth on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Bournemouth arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Everton, L 1-2 @ Manchester City, L 1-2 @ FSV Mainz 05, D 2-2 @ Real Betis.
Everton are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Bournemouth, W 4-0 @ Preston, W 2-0 v Crystal Palace, D 1-1 v Lille.
Bournemouth hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton.
The market prices BOU at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Everton: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
