HB Torshavn v Motherwell

HB Torshavn meet Motherwell in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Gundadalur, Torshavn. The model makes HB Torshavn the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% HB , 29% draw, 36% MOT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors HB Torshavn on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans HB Torshavn at 50%; double chance reads HB Torshavn or draw 64%, Motherwell or draw 64%.

HB Torshavn arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Motherwell, W 4-1 @ 07 Vestur, W 4-1 v Skála, L 0-4 @ Vikingur Gota.

Motherwell are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v HB Torshavn, L 3-4 v Genk, L 0-4 @ Aarhus, W 1-0 @ Hibernian.

Motherwell hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motherwell 2-0 HB Torshavn.

The market prices HB at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on HB Torshavn: a 20.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.