Dainava v Žalgiris II

Dainava meet Žalgiris II in the 1 Lyga regular season - 22.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dainava, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Dainava on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Dainava at 63%; double chance reads Dainava or draw 73%, Žalgiris II or draw 56%.

Dainava arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Žalgiris II, D 1-1 v Atmosfera, D 0-0 v BFA, W 2-1 v Babrungas.

Žalgiris II are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dainava, W 4-3 v Transinvest 2, W 4-1 @ FA Šiauliai II, W 2-1 v Kauno Žalgiris II.

Dainava hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dainava 0-1 Žalgiris II.

The market prices DAI at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Žalgiris II: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.