Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia: the model read
Shimizu S-pulse meet Machida Zelvia in the J1 League regular season - 11 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka. The model makes Machida Zelvia the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% SHI, 33% draw, 37% MAC.
Machida Zelvia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1489. Recent form leans Machida Zelvia, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Shimizu S-pulse on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Machida Zelvia at 55%; double chance reads Shimizu S-pulse or draw 63%, Machida Zelvia or draw 70%.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Karlsruher SC, W 3-1 @ Polessya, L 0-3 @ Yokohama F. Marinos, D 1-1 v Yokohama F. Marinos.
Machida Zelvia are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fujieda MYFC, W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus, D 2-2 @ Nagoya Grampus, W 1-0 v Urawa.
Shimizu S-pulse hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Machida Zelvia 3-0 Shimizu S-pulse.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
