Kawasaki Frontale v JEF United Chiba

Kawasaki Frontale meet JEF United Chiba in the J1 League regular season - 4 at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kawasaki Frontale, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors Kawasaki Frontale on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Kawasaki Frontale arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v JEF United Chiba, W 3-1 v Tochigi SC, D 1-1 @ Sanfrecce Hiroshima, D 2-2 v Kyoto Sanga.

JEF United Chiba are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Kawasaki Frontale, D 1-1 v Azul Claro Numazu, L 0-2 @ FC Tokyo, L 0-4 v Machida Zelvia.

Kawasaki Frontale hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 JEF United Chiba.

The market prices KAW at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on JEF United Chiba: a 10.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.