Where the market is wrong on Kitakyushu v Matsumoto Yamaga
Kitakyushu meet Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League regular season - 4 at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Matsumoto Yamaga, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Matsumoto Yamaga on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Kitakyushu arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Iwaki, D 1-1 v Matsumoto Yamaga, D 2-2 @ Tochigi SC, L 1-2 v Okinawa SV.
Matsumoto Yamaga are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Kitakyushu, D 2-2 v Ehime FC, L 2-3 v Biwako Shiga, D 0-0 @ Kochi United.
Matsumoto Yamaga hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kitakyushu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga.
The market prices KIT at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Matsumoto Yamaga: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output