Where the market is wrong on FC Lugano v Servette FC
FC Lugano meet Servette FC in the Super League regular season - 6 at AIL Arena, Lugano.
The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Lugano, 80% against 65%. Attacking output favors FC Lugano on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.1 per match.
FC Lugano arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ FC Sion, D 1-1 @ Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 2-1 v Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 10-1 @ Vedeggio.
Servette FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FC Luzern, W 7-0 @ Bavois, W 2-1 v Grasshoppers, L 1-2 @ FC Zurich.
Servette FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Lugano 1-1 Servette FC.
The market prices FC at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
