Lorient v Toulouse: the model read
Lorient meet Toulouse in the Ligue 1 regular season - 4 at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lorient, 50% against 39%. Attacking output favors Lorient on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Lorient arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Estac Troyes, D 0-0 @ Nice, L 1-4 @ SV Elversberg, L 1-2 @ Angers.
Toulouse are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 0-2 v Lyon, L 1-2 v Hamburger SV, W 2-1 v Real Sociedad.
Toulouse hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Toulouse 1-0 Lorient.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
