Where the market is wrong on Boulogne v Dijon
Boulogne meet Dijon in the Ligue 2 regular season - 5.
Dijon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Dijon, 68% against 37%. Attacking output favors Dijon on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.6 per match.
Boulogne arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Montpellier, D 1-1 v RED Star FC 93, L 0-1 @ Guingamp, D 0-0 v Nancy.
Dijon are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Saint Etienne, D 1-1 @ Clermont Foot, L 0-1 v PAU, D 1-1 @ Montpellier.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Dijon 0-3 Boulogne.
The market prices BOU at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Dijon: a 10.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
