Sochaux v Guingamp

Sochaux meet Guingamp in the Ligue 2 regular season - 3 at Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbeliard.

Sochaux rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1553 to 1400. Recent form leans Sochaux, 58% against 30%. Attacking output favors Sochaux on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Sochaux at 60%; double chance reads Sochaux or draw 73%, Guingamp or draw 59%.

Sochaux arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Guingamp, D 0-0 @ RED Star FC 93, L 0-3 v Saint Etienne, D 1-1 v Auxerre.

Guingamp are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sochaux, W 1-0 v Boulogne, L 1-2 @ Metz, D 3-3 @ Stade Brestois 29.

Sochaux hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sochaux 1-0 Guingamp.

The market prices SOC at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Sochaux: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.