Dordrecht v Heracles: the model read
Dordrecht meet Heracles in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 15 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. The model makes Dordrecht the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% DOR, 28% draw, 23% HER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dordrecht, 50% against 23%. Attacking output favors Dordrecht on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Dordrecht at 68%; double chance reads Dordrecht or draw 77%, Heracles or draw 51%.
Dordrecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior, L 0-6 v Feyenoord.
Heracles are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Emmen, W 2-1 v Groningen, L 1-2 v Groningen, L 0-3 @ Telstar.
Heracles hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Dordrecht 1-3 Heracles.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
