Emmen v Jong AZ: the model read
Emmen meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 3 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen. The model makes Jong AZ the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 27% EMM, 27% draw, 45% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Jong AZ, 47% against 33%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Jong AZ at 62%; double chance reads Emmen or draw 55%, Jong AZ or draw 73%.
Emmen arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Heracles, L 2-3 @ Groningen, W 1-0 v De Graafschap, D 2-2 @ Roda.
Jong AZ are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Jong Ajax, W 3-1 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 @ Waalwijk, W 2-0 v Roda.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong AZ 2-3 Emmen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
