Waalwijk v Dordrecht: the model read
Waalwijk meet Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 2 at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% WAA, 29% draw, 31% DOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Waalwijk, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 57%; double chance reads Waalwijk or draw 69%, Dordrecht or draw 59%.
Waalwijk arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Dordrecht are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior, L 0-6 v Feyenoord.
Waalwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Waalwijk 1-1 Dordrecht.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
