Where the market is wrong on Aarhus Fremad v Vejle
Aarhus Fremad meet Vejle in the 1. Division regular season - 6 at Riisvangen, Aarhus.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 61%. Attacking output favors Vejle on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Aarhus Fremad arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Vejle, W 1-0 @ SGI, D 0-0 @ FC Fredericia, D 1-1 @ Hillerød.
Vejle are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Aarhus Fremad, W 3-0 v Silkeborg, W 4-2 v Esbjerg, W 3-2 @ Kolding IF.
The market prices AAR at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Aarhus Fremad: a 12.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output