Where the market is wrong on Atletico San Luis v Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX apertura - 7 at Estadio Libertad Financiera, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Atletico San Luis on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Atletico San Luis arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Monterrey, D 1-1 v CF Pachuca, L 0-3 @ Club America, D 2-2 @ Orlando City SC.
Guadalajara Chivas are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ CF Pachuca, W 5-2 v Club Tijuana, W 1-0 @ Santos Laguna, W 2-1 @ Seattle Sounders.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Guadalajara Chivas.
The market prices ATL at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Atletico San Luis: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
