SC St. Tönis v Eintracht Frankfurt

SC St. Tönis meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the DFB Pokal round of 64 at Grotenburg-Stadion, Krefeld.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Eintracht Frankfurt, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Eintracht Frankfurt on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 94%. Draw no bet leans Eintracht Frankfurt at 64%; double chance reads SC St. Tönis or draw 52%, Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 73%.

SC St. Tönis arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 23 conceded. Recent results: L 0-11 v Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-2 v Solingen-Wald, L 1-4 v Fortuna Düsseldorf II, L 0-5 v Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Eintracht Frankfurt are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 19 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 11-0 @ SC St. Tönis, L 0-7 @ Brentford, W 5-1 @ FSV Frankfurt, W 2-0 v Hull City.

Eintracht Frankfurt hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC St. Tönis 0-11 Eintracht Frankfurt.

The market prices SC at 2% implied. Our number sits apart on SC St. Tönis: a 25.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.