Udinese v Lazio: the model read
Udinese meet Lazio in the Serie A regular season - 3 at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lazio, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Lazio on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Lazio at 56%; double chance reads Udinese or draw 62%, Lazio or draw 69%.
Udinese arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Monza, D 1-1 v Como, W 1-0 v Padova, W 1-0 v Barcelona.
Lazio are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Genoa, W 1-0 @ Bologna, L 0-2 v Mantova, W 2-1 @ Frosinone.
Lazio hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lazio 3-3 Udinese.
The market prices UDI at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Lazio: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
