Where the market is wrong on Union Magdalena v Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena meet Real Cartagena in the Primera B clausura - 11 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Cartagena, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Cartagena on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Union Magdalena arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Real Cartagena, D 1-1 v Santa Fe, W 2-1 @ Patriotas, L 1-2 @ Real Cundinamarca.
Real Cartagena are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Union Magdalena, D 0-0 v Envigado, L 1-2 @ Internacional Palmira, W 1-0 @ Orsomarso.
The market prices UNI at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Real Cartagena: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
