Popayan v Bogota FC

Popayan meet Bogota FC in the Primera B clausura - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 47%. Attacking output favors Popayan on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Popayan at 50%; double chance reads Popayan or draw 67%, Bogota FC or draw 66%.

Popayan arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Bogota FC, L 1-3 @ Real Cundinamarca, D 0-0 v Tigres FC, W 1-0 @ Quindio.

Bogota FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Popayan, L 0-2 @ Real Cartagena, L 0-1 v Leones FC, D 0-0 @ Internacional Palmira.

Bogota FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Popayan 1-2 Bogota FC.

The market prices POP at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Bogota FC: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.