Union Magdalena v Leones FC: the model read
Union Magdalena meet Leones FC in the Primera B clausura - 5 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. The model makes Union Magdalena the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% UNI, 29% draw, 20% LEO.
Union Magdalena rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1400. Recent form leans Union Magdalena, 68% against 35%. Attacking output favors Union Magdalena on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Union Magdalena at 72%; double chance reads Union Magdalena or draw 80%, Leones FC or draw 49%.
Union Magdalena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bogota FC, D 1-1 @ Barranquilla, W 3-0 v Real Cartagena, L 1-2 @ Real Cartagena.
Leones FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tigres FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, D 0-0 @ Cucuta, W 2-0 v Orsomarso.
Union Magdalena hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leones FC 1-3 Union Magdalena.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
