Piteå v AIK Stockholm

Piteå meet AIK Stockholm in the Svenska Cupen final.

AIK Stockholm rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans AIK Stockholm, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors AIK Stockholm on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans AIK Stockholm at 65%; double chance reads Piteå or draw 53%, AIK Stockholm or draw 75%.

Piteå arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Hammarby Talang, L 0-3 v AIK Stockholm, D 1-1 v Vasalund, D 0-0 @ Arlanda.

AIK Stockholm are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Piteå, W 3-1 @ Djurgardens IF, W 4-3 @ Orgryte IS, L 0-3 v Orgryte IS.

AIK Stockholm hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Piteå 0-3 AIK Stockholm.

The market prices PIT at 4% implied. Our number sits apart on Piteå: a 20.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.