Cambodia v Singapore

Cambodia meet Singapore in the ASEAN Championship group stage - 1 at Morodok Techo National Stadium, Phnom Penh. The model makes Singapore the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% CAM, 29% draw, 41% SIN.

Singapore rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1408. Recent form leans Singapore, 53% against 35%. Attacking output favors Singapore on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Singapore at 58%; double chance reads Cambodia or draw 59%, Singapore or draw 71%.

Cambodia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Indonesia, L 1-2 v Singapore, W 2-0 v Hong Kong, W 4-0 v Bhutan.

Singapore are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Timor-Leste, W 2-1 @ Cambodia, L 1-2 v China, W 4-0 v Mongolia.

Singapore hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cambodia 1-2 Singapore.

The market prices CAM at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.